Home > Department of State > EB-2 and EB-3 China Predictions for the Upcoming Months

EB-2 and EB-3 China Predictions for the Upcoming Months

January 14, 2015

In a recent meeting, Charles (“Charlie”) Oppenheim, Chief of the Visa Control and Reporting Division, U.S. Department of State predicted the following for EB-2 and EB-3 China:

In February 2015, the priority date for EB-3 China will be more than 17 months ahead of EB-2 China, creating an environment ripe for EB-3 “downgrades.” Charlie currently predicts that EB-2 China will advance by another 3 to 6 weeks in the coming months, while EB-3 China will experience rapid forward movement.

When asked how far he expects EB-3 to advance, Charlie indicated that the date could possibly get into 2012 or even earlier. At this time, Charlie does not foresee EB-3 China catching up to the worldwide EB-3 cut-off date as it did last year, because he expects that a sharp increase in EB-3 China demand will prompt corrective action before the date advances that far. However, Charlie did not rule out that possibility, given the lack of visibility regarding pending EB-3 downgrade petitions until a visa number is requested.


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